First, they need Saudi Arabia to lose to North Korea this afternoon -- that would give Iran third place in their group over the Saudis based on goal differential.
That would then get them into a playoff against the third place finisher in the other Asian group, which will likely be Bahrain.
If they can win that home-and-home playoff in September, that would then get them to another playoff against New Zealand (the playoff winner from Oceania) in October. If they win that, they're South Africa-bound.
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